Post by Blitz on Apr 3, 2024 6:00:22 GMT -5
New Poll Says No Clear Leader in Biden-Trump Matchup
by Andreas Exarheas|Rigzone Staff | Wednesday, April 03, 2024 | 6:40 AM EST
www.rigzone.com/news/new_poll_says_no_clear_leader_in_bidentrump_matchup-03-apr-2024-176290-article/
'Way too close to call on the head to head, and even closer when third party candidates are counted,' Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy said.
In a head to head presidential election matchup, 48 percent of voters support President Joe Biden and 45 percent support former President Donald Trump.
That’s what a Quinnipiac University national poll of registered voters released on March 27 stated, adding that this result is virtually unchanged from Quinnipiac University’s February 21 poll.
When the matchup is expanded to include independent and Green Party candidates, Trump receives 39 percent support, Biden receives 38 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 13 percent support, Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives four percent support, and independent candidate Cornel West receives three percent support, the latest poll noted.
There is no clear leader in either of these matchups because the leads are within the margin of error, Quinnipiac University’s March 27 poll warned.
“Way too close to call on the head to head, and even closer when third party candidates are counted,” Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy said in the latest poll.
“The backstretch is months away and this is about as close as it can get,” he added.
A Quinnipiac University poll published back in January stated that, in the key swing state of Pennsylvania, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump remain in a too close to call hypothetical 2024 general election matchup with 49 percent of registered voters supporting Biden and 46 percent supporting Trump.
That poll highlighted that this marked the first time in Pennsylvania that Biden had a numerical advantage over Trump in the 2024 presidential race.
In a statement posted on its X page in September last year, the Oil & Gas Workers Association (OGWA), which has 47,000 members and represents 33 states, according to its website, endorsed Trump for President.
In an opinion piece published on Wood Mackenzie’s website in January, the company’s Americas Vice Chair Ed Crooks said, “prediction markets, which have no supernatural powers but usefully summarize the conventional wisdom, have Trump as the clear favorite to enter the White House a little over year from now”.
In that piece, Crooks said a U.S. president’s powers to affect oil and gas production one way or the other are often over-estimated.
“President Joe Biden said on the campaign trail in 2020: ‘I would transition from the oil industry… [it] has to be replaced by renewable energy over time’. But during his administration U.S. crude production has hit a new record high, at over 13 million barrels per day,” he added.
“To be fair, the administration did shift its stance in 2022 to encourage increased production, but its rhetoric in that direction has not had any material impact either,” he continued.
However, there are levers that a second Trump administration could pull to help the oil and gas industry and have a positive effect on production at the margin, Crooks noted in his piece.
“In his campaigning, Trump has identified boosting oil and gas output as a priority. He has said in public appearances that he wanted to be ‘a dictator for one day’ to address two issues: ‘for drilling and for closing the border’,” he added.
“Those comments point to the use of executive actions and rule changes to lighten the regulatory burden on oil and gas companies,” he continued.
“The Environmental Protection Agency last month announced new rules to cut emissions from oil and gas operations, including a ban on routine flaring at new wells, requirements for comprehensive monitoring for methane leaks and new standards for equipment, such as controllers, pumps, and storage tanks. A Trump administration could be expected to scrap all of those provisions,” he went on to state, adding that other climate-focused policy initiatives would also come under pressure.
Leasing of federal lands and waters for oil and gas development is another area that would be set to change, Crooks said in the opinion piece.
“A more active leasing program could potentially boost production, but only in the longer term,” he added.
“It would be unrealistic to expect a change of administration to make a large and rapid difference to the supply side for U.S. oil and gas,” he continued.
“In fact, a future Trump administration could have a larger and more lasting impact on the demand side,” he noted.
The next U.S. Presidential election is scheduled for November 5, 2024. Trump served as U.S. President from January 20, 2017, to January 20, 2021. Joe Biden has served as the U.S. President from January 20, 2021.
by Andreas Exarheas|Rigzone Staff | Wednesday, April 03, 2024 | 6:40 AM EST
www.rigzone.com/news/new_poll_says_no_clear_leader_in_bidentrump_matchup-03-apr-2024-176290-article/
'Way too close to call on the head to head, and even closer when third party candidates are counted,' Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy said.
In a head to head presidential election matchup, 48 percent of voters support President Joe Biden and 45 percent support former President Donald Trump.
That’s what a Quinnipiac University national poll of registered voters released on March 27 stated, adding that this result is virtually unchanged from Quinnipiac University’s February 21 poll.
When the matchup is expanded to include independent and Green Party candidates, Trump receives 39 percent support, Biden receives 38 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 13 percent support, Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives four percent support, and independent candidate Cornel West receives three percent support, the latest poll noted.
There is no clear leader in either of these matchups because the leads are within the margin of error, Quinnipiac University’s March 27 poll warned.
“Way too close to call on the head to head, and even closer when third party candidates are counted,” Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy said in the latest poll.
“The backstretch is months away and this is about as close as it can get,” he added.
A Quinnipiac University poll published back in January stated that, in the key swing state of Pennsylvania, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump remain in a too close to call hypothetical 2024 general election matchup with 49 percent of registered voters supporting Biden and 46 percent supporting Trump.
That poll highlighted that this marked the first time in Pennsylvania that Biden had a numerical advantage over Trump in the 2024 presidential race.
In a statement posted on its X page in September last year, the Oil & Gas Workers Association (OGWA), which has 47,000 members and represents 33 states, according to its website, endorsed Trump for President.
In an opinion piece published on Wood Mackenzie’s website in January, the company’s Americas Vice Chair Ed Crooks said, “prediction markets, which have no supernatural powers but usefully summarize the conventional wisdom, have Trump as the clear favorite to enter the White House a little over year from now”.
In that piece, Crooks said a U.S. president’s powers to affect oil and gas production one way or the other are often over-estimated.
“President Joe Biden said on the campaign trail in 2020: ‘I would transition from the oil industry… [it] has to be replaced by renewable energy over time’. But during his administration U.S. crude production has hit a new record high, at over 13 million barrels per day,” he added.
“To be fair, the administration did shift its stance in 2022 to encourage increased production, but its rhetoric in that direction has not had any material impact either,” he continued.
However, there are levers that a second Trump administration could pull to help the oil and gas industry and have a positive effect on production at the margin, Crooks noted in his piece.
“In his campaigning, Trump has identified boosting oil and gas output as a priority. He has said in public appearances that he wanted to be ‘a dictator for one day’ to address two issues: ‘for drilling and for closing the border’,” he added.
“Those comments point to the use of executive actions and rule changes to lighten the regulatory burden on oil and gas companies,” he continued.
“The Environmental Protection Agency last month announced new rules to cut emissions from oil and gas operations, including a ban on routine flaring at new wells, requirements for comprehensive monitoring for methane leaks and new standards for equipment, such as controllers, pumps, and storage tanks. A Trump administration could be expected to scrap all of those provisions,” he went on to state, adding that other climate-focused policy initiatives would also come under pressure.
Leasing of federal lands and waters for oil and gas development is another area that would be set to change, Crooks said in the opinion piece.
“A more active leasing program could potentially boost production, but only in the longer term,” he added.
“It would be unrealistic to expect a change of administration to make a large and rapid difference to the supply side for U.S. oil and gas,” he continued.
“In fact, a future Trump administration could have a larger and more lasting impact on the demand side,” he noted.
The next U.S. Presidential election is scheduled for November 5, 2024. Trump served as U.S. President from January 20, 2017, to January 20, 2021. Joe Biden has served as the U.S. President from January 20, 2021.
