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Post by bjspokanimal on Jan 30, 2024 13:16:03 GMT -5
Moved some political opinion posts here starting with the post below from this thread:
lvs.freeforums.net/thread/21471/venezuela-suspends-election-sanctions-lifted?page=1&scrollTo=77198
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Brings to mind that the U.S. is acting more and more like Venezuela every day.
Like Venezuela, we're running up the national debt by spreading free money to the masses and like Venezuela, the current government is working to prevent the opposing party's leader from even being able to run for President.
The only thing different is that the U.S. doesn't yet have the hyper-inflation that exists in Venezuela, although through great effort, Biden's handlers were able to get it close to double-digits before the Fed responded by making housing, and debt re-financings at Transocean, un-affordable.
But give Biden's people another 4 years, and I'm sure they'll get us to the promised land of economic ruin. Remember, it was only a couple of moderate democrat Senators (Manchin and Sinema) who stood in the way of a massive, deficit-fueled, $5 TRILLION social spending bill put together by Socialist Senator Bernie Sanders that stood between where we are today and the levels of inflation and deficits that probably would have spun the country into another "great recession" like we witnessed in 2009. If Biden wins next November and has enough democrat- socialist coat-tails to overcome the moderating influences of centrists like Manchen and Sinema, this country is in serious, SERIOUS trouble...
... they already demonstrated that fact with that $5 Trillion bill that almost passed.
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Post by kingrig on Jan 30, 2024 15:11:25 GMT -5
Brings to mind that the U.S. is acting more and more like Venezuela every day. Like Venezuela, we're running up the national debt by spreading free money to the masses and like Venezuela, the current government is working to prevent the opposing party's leader from even being able to run for President. The only thing different is that the U.S. doesn't yet have the hyper-inflation that exists in Venezuela, although through great effort, Biden's handlers were able to get it close to double-digits before the Fed responded by making housing, and debt re-financings at Transocean, un-affordable. But give Biden's people another 4 years, and I'm sure they'll get us to the promised land of economic ruin. Remember, it was only a couple of moderate democrat Senators (Manchin and Sinema) who stood in the way of a massive, deficit-fueled, $5 TRILLION social spending bill put together by Socialist Senator Bernie Sanders that stood between where we are today and the levels of inflation and deficits that probably would have spun the country into another "great recession" like we witnessed in 2009. If Biden wins next November and has enough democrat- socialist coat-tails to overcome the moderating influences of centrists like Manchen and Sinema, this country is in serious, SERIOUS trouble... ... they already demonstrated that fact with that $5 Trillion bill that almost passed. no president in America’s history has ran up a higher debt in a 4 year term than Donald Trump, 100% factual statement so please no alternative facts or excuses
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Post by Blitz on Jan 30, 2024 15:45:08 GMT -5
Brings to mind that the U.S. is acting more and more like Venezuela every day. Like Venezuela, we're running up the national debt by spreading free money to the masses and like Venezuela, the current government is working to prevent the opposing party's leader from even being able to run for President. The only thing different is that the U.S. doesn't yet have the hyper-inflation that exists in Venezuela, although through great effort, Biden's handlers were able to get it close to double-digits before the Fed responded by making housing, and debt re-financings at Transocean, un-affordable. But give Biden's people another 4 years, and I'm sure they'll get us to the promised land of economic ruin. Remember, it was only a couple of moderate democrat Senators (Manchin and Sinema) who stood in the way of a massive, deficit-fueled, $5 TRILLION social spending bill put together by Socialist Senator Bernie Sanders that stood between where we are today and the levels of inflation and deficits that probably would have spun the country into another "great recession" like we witnessed in 2009. If Biden wins next November and has enough democrat- socialist coat-tails to overcome the moderating influences of centrists like Manchen and Sinema, this country is in serious, SERIOUS trouble... ... they already demonstrated that fact with that $5 Trillion bill that almost passed. no president in America’s history has ran up a higher debt in a 4 year term than Donald Trump, 100% factual statement so please no alternative facts or excuses Yes, but the bigger picture is that $2T was due to the Covid panic and shutdowns. In hindsight that always 20/20... it could have done for for less, but you don't know that at the time. I'll point to China as another example of how not to do it... but they had a far worse outcome that is still rippling through Xi's modernized Maoist authoritarian radical left centralized economy.
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Post by kingrig on Jan 30, 2024 16:29:51 GMT -5
no president in America’s history has ran up a higher debt in a 4 year term than Donald Trump, 100% factual statement so please no alternative facts or excuses Yes, but the bigger picture is that $2T was due to the Covid panic and shutdowns. In hindsight that always 20/20... it could have done for for less, but you don't know that at the time. I'll point to China as another example of how not to do it... but they had a far worse outcome that is still rippling through Xi's modernized Maoist authoritarian radical left centralized economy. they should give Transocean a couple trillion for multi year contracts lol
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Post by bjspokanimal on Jan 30, 2024 19:51:41 GMT -5
I agree. So much of of what Trump did well was obfuscated by the massive spending that was enacted to battle covid when the magnitude of the covid problem was still unknown. Every day, Biden's people say exactly what kingrig said above, thinking that people forget about the late cycle growth, investment, low unemployment and relatively smaller deficits, relative to today, that were being achieved prior to the covid outbreak.
Still, I fault Trump for not doing more about the deficit that DID exist prior to covid. I see it as critical, and he sees it as just another policy issue. Unfortunately, Biden's people don't seem to care at all. Trump is saying he wants to balance the budget, but I look at that like his promise to build the wall and make Mexico pay for it... it didn't happen and he won't balance the budget either. But if he's a one-term president, at least he might give it the 'ol college try, given that re-election is out and he won't have to impress anybody.
The other thing I didn't like about Trump, is that he caved on Sequester and made a deal to increase social spending in order to secure half as much as that for defense. Sure, our defense was hurting, with tons of hardware rotting away in storage in the desert. But the Sequester was the last, significant barrier we had to unbridled government spending, and Trump sacrificed it.
But in the end, Trump is the only president in my lifetime who actually enacted supply-side economics in a meaningful way, and the result was the highest GDP ever achieved, with no inflation and low unemployment, more than 8 years after the last economic recession...
... it's just a shame that covid came along and wiped out people's memory of such an unprecedented achievement. End of this discussion for me... too political and I'd rather focus on Transocean and deepwater drilling.
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Post by kingrig on Jan 30, 2024 20:10:25 GMT -5
I agree. So much of of what Trump did well was obfuscated by the massive spending that was enacted to battle covid when the magnitude of the covid problem was still unknown. Every day, Biden's people say exactly what kingrig said above, thinking that people forget about the late cycle growth, investment, low unemployment and relatively smaller deficits, relative to today, that were being achieved prior to the covid outbreak. Still, I fault Trump for not doing more about the deficit that DID exist prior to covid. I see it as critical, and he sees it as just another policy issue. Unfortunately, Biden's people don't seem to care at all. Trump is saying he wants to balance the budget, but I look at that like his promise to build the wall and make Mexico pay for it... it didn't happen and he won't balance the budget either. But if he's a one-term president, at least he might give it the 'ol college try, given that re-election is out and he won't have to impress anybody. The other thing I didn't like about Trump, is that he caved on Sequester and made a deal to increase social spending in order to secure half as much as that for defense. Sure, our defense was hurting, with tons of hardware rotting away in storage in the desert. But the Sequester was the last, significant barrier we had to unbridled government spending, and Trump sacrificed it. But in the end, Trump is the only president in my lifetime who actually enacted supply-side economics in a meaningful way, and the result was the highest GDP ever achieved, with no inflation and low unemployment, more than 8 years after the last economic recession... ... it's just a shame that covid came along and wiped out people's memory of such an unprecedented achievement. End of this discussion for me... too political and I'd rather focus on Transocean and deepwater drilling. good points made
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Post by Blitz on Jan 31, 2024 8:45:58 GMT -5
Apparently, 2 socialist idiots came up with a lose-lose plan to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory... upholding the highest traditions of the looney far Left. And now this... U.S. reimposes sanctions on Venezuela after opposition elections ban upheld By Shikema Dey - January 31, 2024 oilnow.gy/featured/u-s-sanctions-back-for-caracas-on-gold-oil-and-gas-operations-after-opposition-elections-ban-upheld/Venezuela’s top court on Jan. 26 closed the door on key opposition candidates running against Nicolas Maduro for the presidency later this year. The Biden administration, in turn, reimposed the sanctions it had eased in a push for free and fair elections in the South American nation. U.S. State Dept. spokesman Matthew Miller on Jan. 29 said the ban violates the Barbados agreement, signed to allow for a level playing field in the upcoming polls. In support of it, the U.S. had issued “General License 44”, allowing relief to Venezuela’s oil and gas sector. “Absent progress between Maduro and his representatives and the opposition Unitary Platform, particularly on allowing all presidential candidates to compete in this year’s election, the United States will not renew the license when it expires on April 18, 2024,” Miller outlined. The U.S. revoked General License 43 – which authorized transactions involving Minerven – the Venezuelan state-owned gold mining company. U.S. entities were given 14 days to wind down any transactions authorized under that license. One analyst had already predicted this. Energy Expert, David Goldwyn David Goldwyn, President of Goldwyn Global Strategies LLC and former U.S. State Department’s special envoy for international energy affairs, had expressed reservations regarding Venezuela’s forthcoming elections, that they may not align with international standards for fairness. Goldwyn predicted a likelihood of certain sanctions being reinstated by January, starting possibly with reversing gold sales or trading debt instruments. He was not far off. Goldwyn had said that oil-related sanctions might endure until further conditions are met, possibly indicating the Biden administration’s aim to maintain diplomatic credibility while nudging the Maduro regime towards compliance. Brian Nichols, the U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Western Hemisphere Affairs, declared that “all options” were under consideration, including the annulment of licenses allowing the export of Venezuelan oil and gas should President Nicolas Maduro fail to demonstrate a commitment to fairer elections. Maduro has until April to decide whether he will hold credible elections or face the wrath of more U.S. sanctions. It would be in his best interest to, since the ease of sanctions saw Venezuela’s economy slowly mending. Condemnation of the ban poured in over the weekend. The Organization of American States (OAS) General Secretariat on Jan. 28 said the move eliminates any possibility of a free election this year. According to the OAS, the decision, along with the recent “prosecution and political imprisonment of opponents,” was evidence that the Maduro administration “had no intention of allowing” a clean election. “This dictatorial logic of political persecution and violation of the political rights of citizens — absolutely foreseeable and to be expected given the background of the regime — once again eliminates for Venezuela the possibility of free, fair and transparent elections,” the OAS statement said. The European Union (EU) also weighed in with concerns. It said “Decisions intended to prevent members of the opposition from exercising their core political rights can only undermine democracy and the rule of law. The EU calls for the full implementation of the Barbados Agreement and the continuation of an inclusive dialogue process that can lead to fair and competitive elections in 2024.” Maduro’s main presidential challenger prefers World Court process to resolve Essequibo controversy | OilNOW Machado is Maduro’s main opponent and appears to be his biggest threat to re-election. Maria Corina Machado with supporters Venezuela’s Controller General, Elvis Amoroso had banned her from public office in June due to her support for U.S. sanctions against Maduro’s regime. Despite the ban, Machado continued her campaign and won the opposition primaries in October last. However, Venezuela’s top court suspended the primary results and ratified bans on her and other opposition candidates, after Venezuela’s attorney general Tarek William Saab said his office was investigating the primary and members of its organizing commission for electoral violations, financial crimes and conspiracy. But she has no intention of backing down from the election. Machado posted to X (formerly Twitter) on Jan. 29: “I received the mandate of almost three million Venezuelans who exercised popular sovereignty. They cannot hold elections without me and those millions of Venezuelans that we represent.”
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Post by Blitz on Jan 31, 2024 10:09:03 GMT -5
And now this... US reimposes some sanctions on Venezuela but nothing on oil… yet Washington will not renew oil licence with South American nation when it expires in mid-April 31 January 2024 - By Fabio Palmigiani in Rio de Janeiro www.upstreamonline.com/politics/us-reimposes-some-sanctions-on-venezuela-but-nothing-on-oil-yet/2-1-1591495 The US has started reimposing some sanctions against Venezuela after the country’s Supreme Court upheld a ban preventing presidential candidate Maria Corina Machado from holding office, upending the opposition’s plans for elections planned for later this year. Machado won the opposition’s independently run presidential primary last October with more than 90% of the votes, potentially putting her name in a prime position to challenge socialist leader Nicolas Maduro in the election. Her victory came despite the Venezuelan government announcing a 15-year ban on her running for office just days after she formally entered the race. On 26 January, the Supreme Court, loyal to Maduro, upheld the ban on Machado and also confirmed the ineligibility of her possible replacement — two-time presidential candidate Henrique Capriles. 'We are warriors': Venezuela president deploys armed forces as UK naval vessel arrives in Guyana - Read more The US government last October suspended sanctions against Venezuela after Maduro and his political opponents agreed to terms to a presidential election. That agreement saw the Administration of US President Joe Biden easing sanctions on Venezuela’s oil sector, allowing Chevron to increase production in the South American nation. However, following the Supreme Court’s decision, Washington has implemented sanctions against Venezuela’s state-owned gold mining group Minerven, saying US personnel will have until 13 February to wind down any transaction with the company. “Actions by Nicolas Maduro and his representatives in Venezuela, including the arrest of members of the democratic opposition and the barring of candidates from competing in this year’s presidential election, are inconsistent with the agreements signed in Barbados last October,” said the US State Department in a statement. As part of the agreement, the US Treasury Department issued a new general licence allowing Venezuela to produce and export oil for the forthcoming six months without limitation. “Absent progress between Maduro and his representatives and the opposition Unitary Platform, particularly on allowing all presidential candidates to compete in this year’s election, the US will not renew the licence when it expires on 18 April,” added the US State Department. Chevron was hopeful on continuing increasing production in Venezuela after Washington temporarily suspended sanctions against the country’s oil sector. Chevron was producing close to 150,000 barrels per day of oil in Venezuela late last year – more than twice the 60,000-bpd figure from earlier 2023.(Copyright)
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Post by nickz34 on Jan 31, 2024 10:20:01 GMT -5
Brings to mind that the U.S. is acting more and more like Venezuela every day. Like Venezuela, we're running up the national debt by spreading free money to the masses and like Venezuela, the current government is working to prevent the opposing party's leader from even being able to run for President. The only thing different is that the U.S. doesn't yet have the hyper-inflation that exists in Venezuela, although through great effort, Biden's handlers were able to get it close to double-digits before the Fed responded by making housing, and debt re-financings at Transocean, un-affordable. But give Biden's people another 4 years, and I'm sure they'll get us to the promised land of economic ruin. Remember, it was only a couple of moderate democrat Senators (Manchin and Sinema) who stood in the way of a massive, deficit-fueled, $5 TRILLION social spending bill put together by Socialist Senator Bernie Sanders that stood between where we are today and the levels of inflation and deficits that probably would have spun the country into another "great recession" like we witnessed in 2009. If Biden wins next November and has enough democrat- socialist coat-tails to overcome the moderating influences of centrists like Manchen and Sinema, this country is in serious, SERIOUS trouble... ... they already demonstrated that fact with that $5 Trillion bill that almost passed. no president in America’s history has ran up a higher debt in a 4 year term than Donald Trump, 100% factual statement so please no alternative facts or excuses Kingrig- what an abjectly asinine statement you make regarding Trump’s deficit and one that demonstrates a complete & total lack of perspective and common sense. Thanks for outing yourself. It will make it easier for me to place future comments of yours into proper context. Just to make sure we’re on the same page, let me guess - you also think that under Biden, his admin deserves credit for record job growth coming out of the 2020 pandemic nadir?
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Post by Blitz on Feb 1, 2024 13:53:07 GMT -5
Stephen Schwarzman's Blackstone made me a lot of money via his business acumen at running Blackstone and then BX stock appreciation and its dividend. Team Biden has stopped me from making a lot more money on RIG via idiotic anti-America energy policies and increased national debt burden. Biden said he wants to end big oil and on his first day in office he cancelled the Keystone pipeline while demonizing oil & gas. Then he needed big oil and then begged authoritarian countries run by evil dictators to produce more oil & gas while he curbed the USA's oil & gas production. Then when the begging didn't work, he released over 300 million barrels from the US SPR. Now he's curbing LNG exports. Biden has no business skills. Biden can't even read his teleprompter. Biden's pure play skill is pandering to ESG's loony far left socialist agenda that thinks big government and big debt are the best things ever... because it pays his bills. And now this... ‘No end in sight’: Blackstone CEO doesn't think the US can handle another term under President Biden — or what he calls 'four more years' of debt misery. But is it really that bad? Bethan Moorcraft - Updated Thu, February 1, 2024 www.yahoo.com/finance/news/no-end-sight-blackstone-ceo-113000310.htmlThe ongoing impacts of Biden's executive order on AIScroll back up to restore default view. Blackstone boss Stephen Schwarzman has his doubts about the future of the U.S. economy if President Joe Biden wins re-election in November. “We’ve now got $2 trillion deficits with no end in sight. We’ve got our debt-to-GDP [ratio] going up. We’ve got open borders with 8 million people coming over,” the billionaire businessman — and Republican mega donor — told Bloomberg, when asked about what he thinks would happen to the economy over a second Biden term. “I don’t know that the country, frankly, is prepared for four more years of that.” Is the U.S. economy really as bad as those headline figures suggest? Drowning in debt On the surface, things don’t look good. U.S. national debt soared to $34.1 trillion by Jan. 31, according to the real-time U.S. Debt Clock. That total is more than the combined GDP of the top five global economies after the U.S. — China ($17.9 trillion), Japan ($4.2 trillion), Germany ($4.0 trillion), India ($3.4 trillion) and the United Kingdom ($3.0 trillion) — according to World Bank data. On the same day, the U.S. federal budget deficit — the difference between government spending and revenue — was at $1.75 trillion. And the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio — the ratio between a country's government debt and its GDP — is currently at 122%, according to the World Economics GDP Database. “It would be good if we could get our financial house in order,” Schwarzman stated — but he doesn’t think the U.S. is headed for a “big financial problem.” “Usually financial crises come when you don’t expect them and they come quickly,” the 76-year-old private equity boss pointed out. The current problems in the U.S. have been building for years and they seem to be on a slow and steady path to recovery — unless, of course, another macro event throws things off course. Read more: Don't miss out: Jeff Bezos reveals the secret to prime real estate profits — say goodbye to landlord headaches ‘Optimistic for 2024’ Despite seemingly dissing so-called Bidenomics and raising alarm bells over what could happen to the U.S. economy, Schwarzman also claimed to be “optimistic” for 2024. He told Bloomberg the economy has slowed — “that’s normal with high interest rates” — but he expects rates to come down in the second half of the year. “We will get the [rate] cuts,” he said, with absolute certainty. Why is Schwarzman so confident? Because Blackstone — the world’s largest alternative asset manager, with $1 trillion in assets under management — is currently measuring U.S. inflation at around 2%, which happens to be the Fed’s inflation target. This is far better than the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics inflation data, for December 2023, which came in at 3.4% — with the shelter index remaining an outlier at 6.2%. “They’re looking at 6% in rents and residential real estate [inflation] and we’re the largest owner of residential real estate and we think it’s 0-1%,” said Schwarzman. “Let’s bet on us [Blackstone] on this one because we’re the people actually doing it. And if you correct the index for that difference between what’s really going on [in residential real estate] and [what] they’re saying is 6.2%, you get around 2%.”
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